| Abstract: | BACKGROUND: The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has increased. Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) shows progression of liver fibrosis in NAFLD. It remains unclear which patients with NAFLD will show progression of liver fibrosis. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the risk factor associated with the progression of liver fibrosis among patients with NAFLD. METHODS: This observational study enrolled 157 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD. Thirty-two patients were excluded because of lack of data. The accuracy of the formulae for estimating liver fibrosis, i.e., the FIB-4 index, APRI, and Forns index, was compared. Using serial changes of the best formula for liver fibrosis, we identified factors associated with the progression of liver fibrosis. Histological liver fibrosis was quantified using the Brunt stage. RESULTS: Sixty-three patients were diagnosed as having NASH. The FIB-4 index provided the best diagnostic accuracy for liver fibrosis [Brunt stage 0 versus 1-4, areas under the curve (AUC) 0.74; 0-1 versus 2-4, AUC 0.77; 0-2 versus 3-4, AUC 0.78; and 1-3 versus 4, AUC 0.87]. The association between body mass index, sex, observation period, and histological findings (liver fat content, bridging fibrosis, and hepatocyte ballooning) with the change in the FIB-4 index was evaluated among patients with NASH, using multivariate analysis. Among these factors, hepatocyte ballooning was associated with an increase in the FIB-4 index. CONCLUSION: The FIB-4 index was the best formula for estimating liver fibrosis in patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD, and the presence of ballooned hepatocytes was a risk factor for the progression of liver fibrosis. |
