Research Article Details
| Article ID: | A05225 |
| PMID: | 33333040 |
| Source: | Clin Chim Acta |
| Title: | Development and validation of a noninvasive clinical scoring system to predict significant fibrosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease. |
| Abstract: | BACKGROUND: The aims of this study were to identify risk factors for significant fibrosis (SF) by assessing physical and laboratory parameters and develop and validate a clinical score and nomogram for the prediction of SF in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). METHODS: This retrospective study included 225 patients with histologically confirmed NAFLD who were divided into two cohorts using 10-fold cross validation for model training and validation. The clinical score and nomogram were used to predict the NAFLD outcome. RESULTS: The model for predicting SF (stage ≥ 2) including the free T4/free T3 ratio, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance (HOMA-IR), percentage of appendicular skeletal muscle mass and aspartate aminotransferase (AST) level in the training and validation cohorts yielded an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.79 and 0.78, respectively. The AUROC of the combined clinical score for the prediction of SF was 0.82 (95% CI, 0.75-0.89) at a cutoff value of 3 points, with a sensitivity (SE) of 77.19%, specificity (SP) of 82.88%, positive predictive value (PPV) of 63.77%, and negative predictive value (NPV) of 90.30%. The nomogram had good performance in quantitatively predicting the risk probability of SF. CONCLUSION: Our study showed that a noninvasive clinical scoring system using easily available physical and laboratory variables can identify patients with NAFLD with or without SF with a high degree of accuracy. Application of this system may decrease the need for staging liver biopsy specimens and allow early identification and intervention in these high-risk patients. |
| DOI: | 10.1016/j.cca.2020.12.012 |
| Strategy ID | Therapy Strategy | Synonyms | Therapy Targets | Therapy Drugs | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S01 | Improve insulin resistance | insulin sensitizer; insulin resistance; glucose tolerance | Biguanide: increases 5-AMP activated protein kinase signaling; SGLT-2 inhibitor; Thiazalidinedione: selective PPAR-γ agonists; GLP-1 agonist | Metformin; Empagliflozin; Canagliflozin; Rosiglitazone; Pioglitazone; Liraglutide | Details |
| S03 | Anti-fibrosis | fibrosis | Angiotensin Receptor Blocker (ARB); CCR2/CCR5 antagonist; Thyroid receptor β agonist; PEGylated human FGF21 analogue; Monoclonal antibody to lysyl oxidase-like 2 (LOXL2); Galectin-3 inhibitor; FGF19 variant | Losartan; Cenicriviroc; VK-2809; MGL-3196; Pegbelfermin; Simtuzumab; GR-MD-02; NGM282 | Details |
| Diseases ID | DO ID | Disease Name | Definition | Class | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I05 | 9352 | Type 2 diabetes mellitus | A diabetes that is characterized by chronic hyperglycaemia with disturbances of carbohydrate, fat and protein metabolism resulting from defects in insulin secretion, insulin action, or both. A diabetes mellitus that is characterized by high blood sugar, insulin resistance, and relative lack of insulin. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diabetes, http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Diabetes_mellitus_type_2 | disease of metabolism/inherited metabolic disorder/ carbohydrate metabolic disorder/glucose metabolism disease/diabetes/ diabetes mellitus | Details |
| Drug ID | Drug Name | Type | DrugBank ID | Targets | Category | Latest Progress | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D080 | Citrulline | Chemical drug | DB00155 | -- | -- | Under clinical trials | Details |
| D545 | Pig placenta extract | Biological extract | -- | -- | -- | Under clinical trials | Details |
| D203 | Levothyroxine | Chemical drug | DB00451 | THRA agonist; THRB agonist | Anti-fibrosis | Under clinical trials | Details |
| D182 | Insulin | Biological drug | DB00030 | INSR agonist; CPE modulator&product of | -- | Under clinical trials | Details |